 |
Visions of Britain |
It is easy to forget that only just over a year ago, we were seeing the final dismemberment of the Conservative government that had ruled since 2010 and resulted in austerity, the collapse of the NHS, Brexit and extensive corruption and expulsions. It was a huge relief, and although the massive Labour majority of 170 seats overrepresented the popularity of the Labour Party, it was an accurate measure of the electorate's disdain for the Conservative government.
Over a year later, the Labour government is in deep shit. The Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, claimed we were entering phase 2 of his government just a week ago. It was meant to be a shift towards more active delivery. When Angela Raynor, the Deputy Prime Minister and Deputy Leader of the Labour Party, resigned following a failure to pay full stamp duty on a new flat, Keir Starmer, true to his principles of setting up an ethical advisor and acting upon any misdemeanour by members of the government, wasted no time in dismissing Angela Raynor or at least seeking a resignation letter from her. He has been consistently ruthless in dismissing or suspending Labour MPs who have transgressed since coming to power 14 months ago. The primary difference from the previous Conservative government is that any deviation from the line is identified and appropriate action is taken immediately. This was seldom the case with the last Conservative government, where 25 MPs were forced to resign, usually after the PM was forced to take action in the face of public outrage.
It is a great pity that Keir Starmer has not been equally ruthless in implementing his promised change agenda. It requires a recognition that our constitution and governance structure are not fit for purpose, and an understanding that some radical policy changes are necessary. Unlike previous Labour Governments elected by landslides in 1945, 1966 and 1997, he arrived with no grand plan or vision, just a promise not to raise taxes and to provide a more ethical and diligent leadership than his predecessors. The cost of living continued to rise, his tax promises were broken by a shady increase in National Insurance for employers, international aid was further reduced, and immigration continued at high levels. He was not providing the big reforms that were needed and which Attlee, Wilson and Blair had been brave enough to introduce on the strength of their election victories. Stramer was tinkering; his first year wasn't convincing the electorate. The departure of Angela Raynor allowed him to reorganise his cabinet and junior ministers, but instead of releasing the energy and ideas of new MPs, he circled the wagons, shuffling ministers who were loyal to his vision of steadying the ship of state. This is not buying time; it is wasting time.
It is becoming increasingly urgent to invent an EV metaphor, to shift from neutral to forward if the government is to win back support from those who believed that things could only get better with a Labour Government. It is not so, as the latest opinion polls (averaging the results of the last seven polls in late August and early September) show that the Referendum Party is 10% ahead of the Labour Party, and the Lib Dems and Greens are gaining support among left-of-centre voters. Change is no more than a mantra, and the shuffling of cabinet and junior ministerial appointments is indicative of a "coalition of the unwilling" when it comes to the radical change that is required to reverse the decline of the UK. The Reform Party has spent the summer inventing a hatful of populist memes that have propelled them forward. They are neither affordable nor realistic, but they trump the spiral of doom induced by the Tory governments of the past 14 years and the stultifying start of Starmer's government.
Labour Party 21%.
Conservative Party 17%
Liberal Democrat Party 14%
Green Party 10%
Referendum Party 31%
I have never belonged to a political party, mainly because of the tribalism that prevents constructive debate about issues. I am clear that there needs to be some significant changes in the way the UK and Scotland function at a time when we are at best treading water. We need to re-enfranchise our communities, improve public services and infrastructure, accelerate progress, reduce inequalities and decouple from the fake fantasies and America First realities of Trump's rogue state. I would like to see the Starmer government address the wicked issues that the UK faces. In times of trouble, the answer is no longer let it be.
Constitution. It has been evident for many years that the UK's unwritten constitution is no longer fit for purpose. It has been kept because the two largest political parties have seen it as protecting their right to govern. Despite Blair's modest attempt to make the House of Lords less elite, it has become an enormous retirement home for ageing politicians and fellow travellers. Equally important is the need to embed local governance in the constitution and devolve powers away from the remote, nullifying and arrogant administrations of Westminster and Holyrood. Some form of proportional representation is needed for the House of Commons, and it is surely worth making voting mandatory through an identification card/app secured by biometric data.
Gaza. Recognising Palestine is merely a starting point. It is time to endorse the work of the United Nations independent International Commission of Inquiry that Israel has committed Genocide in Gaza. Ideally, a UN peacekeeping force should have been mobilised, but the Security Council would have prevented this by virtue of the United States vetoing any such action. The result: 65,000 deaths.
Devolve power to councils. The concentration of powers and functions by central government and its mass of non democratic bodies and regulatory bodies has resulted in lengthy decision-making, poor procurement, corruption in the allocation of levelling up funding, tax raising being centralised and core government funding for councils reduced by between 40% and 70% since 2010. Equally important, although seldom acknowledged, is the loss of ability to set local priorities, to harness the partnership between Councils and local businesses and the energy and commitment of local communities. Something evident in countries with a more federal governance structure and municipal muscle that is protected by local governance being embedded in the constitution.
Taxation Reform. This has been seen as too dangerous by successive governments, and Rachel Reeves has shown even less courage in this area by making promises to retain income tax, national insurance and VAT at existing levels. It is the cause of many of the travails of Starner's government. Integrating Income Tax and National Insurance would give a far more progressive taxation regime that would benefit younger workers. and eliminate the NI advantages of being self-employed. VAT is a bureaucratic nightmare and needs simplification and extension to additional products and services that, on balance, benefit the wealthiest. Taxation on aircraft fuel would show a commitment to green policies, not dodgy green soundbites. And land taxation should be introduced and devolved to councils to fund the infrastructure required for additional housing and commercial developments. HMRC have been subjected to far too many fixes by a lottery of Chancellors, who, along with the Treasury, have muddled us along for too long
National Identification Digital Card/Application: Why the UK lags behind the rest of Europe and the world on Digital Identity Cards has exacerbated our inability to tackle many other issues, such as work permits, benefits, demographic data, voter identification, immigration and the planning of public services. It was a no-brainer when David Blunkett tried to introduce it in 2009. The Lib Dems and Tories scrapped its development in 2010, but even they are now understanding its benefits. It would also seem to be the case that the Starmer government might be willing to bite the bullet. Get on with it.
Care and NHS funding. The Chancellor has announced an extra £30bn of funding for the NHS in the next three years, but only £4bn (a 2.6% increase per annum)has been set aside for Adult Community Care, and 80% of this has to be found by Council Tax increases. Baroness Casey's Independent Commission is not due to complete until 2028, and the increases announced by the Chancellor provide no scope for eradicating the deficiencies in the service. The Treasury and the government are too obsessed with the NHS to address our underfunded Care sector
International Aid and the United Nations. Starmer has focused on restoring the UK's relationship with Europe and developing an unctuous relationship with Trump's America. But the further reduction of International Aid and the lethargic defence of Gaza at the United Nations have not rebuilt the soft power that was relinquished during the Johnson era. Hopefully, the changes at the Foreign Office may change this.
Green Issues. Despite the rhetoric of victory a year ago and the genuine efforts of Ed Miliband, there have been too many mistakes by the Treasury on Green issues. The shift to approving wind turbines and green energy has been positive, but the failure to tax fuel for air travel or to introduce the fuel escalator would have been far more sustainable tax increases than National Insurance. Then, to approve not one but two new runways at Heathrow and Gatwick, the first of which will not be operational for twelve years and cost over £21bn, runs contrary to previous inquiries that suggested only one was required and even then, subject to stringent environmental conditions. This contrasts with further delays to the Northern Rail Link between Liverpool and Hull. It would appear that the government is as wedded to investment in the South East as the last government. Our friends in the North are not happy.
Big Tech and the Water Industry. The involvement of Financial companies like BlackRock in advising the government, the overseas investors in UK industries such as Thames Water, Nuclear Power Stations and major Airports has extracted profits from consumer price increases. Big tech from American companies has been even more of a drain on consumer prices. And they are now making AI promises for a new age, but the only certainty is that they will be certain to make huge profits from the UK. It is an area where we would be better aligned with Europe on these developments.
Immigration. The top issue, according to the opinion polls. Although there has been progress in processing asylum seekers and reducing the numbers in Hotels, there is a long way to go, and there will have to be hard choices taken to satisfy the manifest concerns of the resident population. This requires a clear statement of the number of migrants, including asylum seekers, that can be granted permission to enter the UK. It should not be justified by salaries offered, but by the needs in the job market and by humanitarian reasons for asylum seekers. What is required is clarity and consistent, speedy administration of transparent policies, not military enforcement and demeaning the importance and value of immigration.
More to come.